Estimating the Stability of Racial Classifications in Brazil

Estimating the Stability of Racial Classifications in Brazil
This study presents a method to estimate the degree to which people change their racial/ethnic identity from one census enumeration to another. The technique is applied to the classification of skin color in Brazil (white, black, brown, yellow). For 1950/1980 period, the findings show a deficit of 38 percent in the black category, and a gain of 34 percent in the brown category, suggesting that a large proportion of individuals who declared themselves black in 1950 reclassified themselves as brown in 1980. Estimates for the 1980/1990 period, adjusted for the effects of international migration, reveal a similar pattern, although the magnitude of color reclassification may have declined somewhat during the 1980s. Procedures to determine the stability of racial/ethnic identity produce data especially useful to recent policy initiatives that rely on demographic censuses to measure changes in the status of minority groups in developing countries.


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